In July 2015…Frank But Fair Adebayo wrote
Frank But-fair Adebayo
Some charlatans either out of mischief, plain ignorance and
political immaturity want the APC SW to pull out of the APC.
What a suicidal mission:
1. The SW APC will be split into two, with Asiwaju Bola
Tinubu leading one faction & Olusegun Obasanjo in the
background leading the other. The latter group will work
with the national party for reasons I will espouse later
2. States currently in the hands of APC SW will become a
theatre of war and Osun state which will have her
governorship election first will witness most of the
turbulence..and the signs are frightening to say the least.
Throw the fact that the governor is on his last term, the
salary quagmire, dwindling revenue & the emergence of the
Deputy Speaker who hails from Osun into the mix then you
get a picture of what will play out.
3. There will be divided loyalty within the camp of Asiwaju.
Those who will be giving federal appointments will have
their loyalty tested to the limit and only a few will stand the
test of political patronage. The VP will eventually have to go
and waiting in the wings will be an Obasanjo nominee.
4. Those who live in breakable glass houses don’t throw
stones. The president commands a lot of coercive power
and he will use it……make no mistake about it.
5. The APC SW has no leverage nor ally to form any political
alliances with. The SE and the SS are no go areas and those
who naively think the Lawan group might team up with
them either do not have a clue or a sense of history. In any
case Lawan who could not even win a caucus vote is no
match for the Buhari cult figure pervading in the North.
Owe : A fijo gba Awa; a fija gba Awa; bi a ba jo, bi a ba ja, bi
a ba ti gba Awa, ko wa tan bi?
Tanslation : By dancing we take possession of Awa; through
fighting we take possession of Awa; if we neither dance nor
fight, but take
possession of Awa anyway, is the result not the same
Two political titans were locked in a political battle for the
soul of Ijeshaland….with the Leader away in Abuja serving
under the Obasanjo regime and with an opposition waiting in
the wings to capitalise on events, the Leader promptly
summoned a meeting with the political gladiators and their
supporters in his expansive country home in Osun.
Tempers were frayed and the atmosphere was charged,
Khadija was the first to speak, a no nonsense young lady in
her mid 20’s…….she lambasted the leader and told her in
clear terms that he had failed as a leader……The leader, a
political disciple of Hezekiah Awolowo kept moot, after all
abuse and ridicule by core supporters came with the
To cut the story short, the leader ruled in favour of one of
the titans, the decision on the face of it was unjust, khadija
was ready to launch into a tirade but the ‘losing’ political
titan stopped her in her track…..he knew the leader to be
just and fair, moreover he was a lawyers lawyer and could
see the force of their argument, “the leader must have his
reasons, a valid one”…..Khadija sheathed her sharp mouth.
…….” I was unjust when I ruled against you, but I had to do
that because MA would never forgive me if I ruled against
him, but I know you will”……he went on ..”sometimes in life
when you get to a point where the battle is fierce and the
outcome uncertain , you make a tactical retreat, take stock,
restrategise and make your move, that’s my advice to you
and your group”……
Asiwaju Ahmed Bola Tinubu: My advice sir is similar to
what Ajibola told his disciple:
1. Beat a tactical retreat, to push foward will spell doom.
You can’t take them on, at least not for now.
2. Beware of those edging you on for a fight, they are rabble
rousers and showmen……when the heat is on they will run.
They led Abiola to Epetedo and……well you know the story.
3. Draw Fasola and co back into your kitchen cabinet, they
might not be brash but they are strategic thinkers, devoid of
the brawns that now sorround you.This is not the time for
bolekaja politics, the numbers just don’t add up and the
leverage is not there; at least for now.
4.Listen and act on the Lagos Oba’s advice. He is as
shrewed as Obasanjo and understands people well.
5. Keep your enemies close…. July 2015